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Cambodia GDP Growth at 6.3% in 2026: What It Means for Property Investors

Varsovia EstatePublished on June 20, 20268 min read

In 2024, Cambodia ranked as the third-fastest-growing economy in ASEAN. In 2026, that momentum continues: the Asian Development Bank (ADB) projects GDP growth of 6.3%, with the IMF confirming a trajectory above 6%. For international investors seeking a market that combines strong economic expansion with a fully dollarised economy, this is a signal worth examining carefully.

Phnom Penh is developing at a pace that mirrors Bangkok a decade ago. Sihanoukville is undergoing a difficult but necessary reset after the casino-driven boom. Siem Reap, powered by its new international airport (SAI, opened October 2023), is drawing hotel and condominium capital. GDP growth is not an abstract number - it is a direct indicator of real estate demand, tenant purchasing power, and secondary market liquidity.

Quick answer

  • Cambodia GDP growth in 2026 is forecast at 6.3% (ADB), compared with 2.6% for the EU average and 3.5% for Thailand
  • The economy is over 80% dollarised - rents, property prices, and transactions are settled in USD, eliminating local currency risk
  • Condominium prices in Phnom Penh: USD 1,500-3,200 per sqm (city centre), versus USD 3,800-7,000 per sqm in Bangkok
  • Gross rental yields in Phnom Penh: 6-9% per year for class B+ and A condominiums in BKK1, Tonle Bassac, and Toul Kork districts
  • Foreign nationals can hold a condominium with hard title from the first floor upward (maximum 70% of a building's units may be foreign-owned)
  • Phnom Penh's population is growing at 3.5% per year - urbanisation is a sustained driver of rental demand

Options and scenarios

Scenario 1: Condominium in BKK1, Phnom Penh - stable USD income

Boeung Keng Kang 1 (BKK1) is Phnom Penh's expatriate hub, comparable in profile to Bangkok's Sukhumvit corridor. A studio of 35-45 sqm in a new development is priced at USD 65,000-110,000. Monthly rent runs USD 600-900. Using a purchase price of USD 85,000 and rent of USD 700 per month:

  • Gross annual income: 700 x 12 = USD 8,400
  • Property management fee (8%): USD 672
  • Service charge (approx. USD 1.50/sqm x 40 sqm x 12 months): USD 720
  • Withholding tax on rental income (10% for non-residents): USD 840
  • Net annual income: 8,400 - 672 - 720 - 840 = USD 6,168
  • Net yield: 7.26%

For comparison, an equivalent unit in Bangkok (Sukhumvit Soi 24, 40 sqm) costs USD 180,000-220,000, with net yields falling to 3.5-4.5%.

Scenario 2: Siem Reap - premium tourism and new airport connectivity

The new Siem Reap-Angkor International Airport (SAI) handles direct flights from Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, Seoul, and Shanghai, with a capacity of 7 million passengers per year. Condominiums with river-view positions start from USD 45,000 for a 30-35 sqm unit. The primary strategy here is short-term rental (Airbnb / Booking.com), with gross yields of 8-12% during peak season (November to March). Investors should account for pronounced seasonality and elevated vacancy during the rainy season (June to September).

Scenario 3: Sihanoukville - high upside potential with material risk

After oversupply driven by the 2018-2022 Chinese casino boom, Sihanoukville is restructuring. The government has banned online casinos and closed dozens of unlicensed operators. Prices have fallen 30-40% from peak. A two-bedroom condominium near Otres Beach can now be acquired for USD 35,000-55,000. Risks are real: low secondary market liquidity, inconsistent build quality, and a limited tenant base. For investors with a 7-10 year horizon and risk appetite, the recovery case is credible - particularly once the Phnom Penh-Sihanoukville expressway is completed (projected 2028).

Comparison table

ParameterPhnom Penh (BKK1)Siem ReapSihanoukvilleBangkok (Sukhumvit)
Price per sqm (USD)1,800-3,2001,200-2,000900-1,8003,800-7,000
Gross rental yield6-9%8-12% (peak season)5-7%3.5-5.5%
Transaction currencyUSDUSDUSDTHB
GDP growth 20266.3%6.3%6.3%3.5%
Ownership structureHard title (condo)Hard title (condo)Hard title (condo)Freehold (condo)
Market liquidityMediumLow-MediumLowHigh
Minimum entry budgetUSD 55,000USD 40,000USD 35,000USD 120,000
Developer riskModerateModerateHighLow

Risks and mistakes

No land ownership for foreigners. Foreign nationals cannot own land in Cambodia. The only legally secure path is a condominium unit with hard title from the first floor upward. Corporate nominee structures - where a Cambodian national holds shares on behalf of a foreigner - carry significant legal risk and provide no reliable protection.

Secondary market liquidity. Cambodia is not Thailand. Selling a condominium on the secondary market can take 6-18 months, and longer in Sihanoukville. Any exit strategy must factor in patience or acceptance of a 10-15% discount to attract buyers.

Developer quality control. The Cambodian market lacks the track record of established Thai developers. Before committing capital, conduct rigorous due diligence: review the developer's completed projects, verify hard title status, and work with an independent legal adviser familiar with Cambodian property law.

Oversupply in the premium segment. Over 14,000 new condominium units were delivered in Phnom Penh between 2022 and 2025 (CBRE Cambodia data). Vacancy in the class A segment reaches 25-30%. Class B+ and B properties show better absorption rates and are generally more suitable for yield-focused investors.

Withholding tax and home-country tax obligations. Non-resident landlords in Cambodia pay a 10% withholding tax on rental income. International investors should consult a tax adviser in their country of residence regarding how foreign rental income is treated under local rules - particularly whether Cambodia has a double taxation treaty with their home jurisdiction. Many countries, including several in the EU, do not have such a treaty with Cambodia.

Remote management. Phnom Penh is a long-haul destination from most Western cities, typically requiring at least one connection. A reliable local property management firm is essential. Budget 8-10% of gross rental income for professional management.

FAQ

Can a foreigner legally own property in Cambodia?

Yes, but only a condominium unit with hard title, from the first floor upward. Foreign ownership of land or houses is prohibited. Alternatives include leasehold arrangements (up to 50 years with renewal options) or corporate structures with a Cambodian partner, though the latter carry meaningful legal risk.

Why does Cambodia's dollarisation matter for property investors?

Over 80% of real estate transactions are denominated in USD. This means purchase prices, rental income, and resale values are all expressed in a global reserve currency. Investors avoid exposure to the Cambodian riel (KHR) and face only standard USD exchange rate risk against their home currency.

What is the minimum budget to invest in Cambodian property?

A studio in Phnom Penh starts from approximately USD 55,000. In Siem Reap, entry-level units begin around USD 40,000. In Sihanoukville, prices start from USD 35,000. Add 3-5% for transaction costs including transfer tax, notarial fees, and legal due diligence.

How much tax do I pay on rental income in Cambodia as a non-resident?

Non-resident landlords pay a 10% withholding tax on gross rental income in Cambodia. You should also obtain advice from a tax professional in your home country, as your domestic rules will determine how this foreign income is reported and whether any credit is available for taxes paid in Cambodia.

How does Cambodia's GDP growth compare to the rest of the region in 2026?

The ADB projects 6.3% for Cambodia in 2026, compared with approximately 5.0% for Vietnam, 4.7% for the Philippines, and 3.5% for Thailand. Cambodia remains among the fastest-growing economies in Southeast Asia.

Is Sihanoukville a safe investment in 2026?

It is not a conservative investment in the traditional sense. The market experienced severe oversupply, a sharp exit of Chinese casino capital, and price declines of 30-40%. The government is investing in infrastructure and legal reform. The recovery case is real but requires a minimum investment horizon of 7-10 years and a clear tolerance for illiquidity.

Which districts of Phnom Penh offer the best rental demand?

BKK1 (Boeung Keng Kang 1) is the top expatriate district and commands premium rents. Tonle Bassac attracts young professionals and corporate tenants. Toul Kork offers lower entry prices with solid demand from the local middle class. Chroy Changvar (the peninsula) is an emerging area with new developments and long-term growth potential.

Do I need a specific visa to purchase property in Cambodia?

No specific visa is required to complete a property purchase. However, for extended stays, a business visa (EB) or tourist visa (T) with extensions is standard. An annual business visa costs approximately USD 300.

How does Cambodia compare to Thailand as a property investment destination?

Cambodia offers significantly lower entry prices (roughly 2-3x cheaper per sqm than Bangkok), higher gross yields (6-9% vs 3.5-5.5%), and full USD denomination. The trade-offs are lower market liquidity, a less mature legal framework, and fewer internationally recognised developers. Thailand provides greater legal certainty, deeper market liquidity, and more established infrastructure. Cambodia suits investors focused on capital appreciation and higher yield; Thailand suits those prioritising stability and ease of exit.


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