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ROI in Vietnam vs Thailand – Numbers, Costs, and Real Property Returns

tomekPublished on February 4, 20265 min read

Introduction: Why ROI Must Be Calculated, Not 'Felt'

Property investment in Asia is often sold through narratives: "tourism boom," "expat haven," "emerging market," "the next Thailand." The problem is that ROI doesn't come from stories—it comes from a concrete equation.

ROI = (income – expenses) / capital invested

In this article, I compare Vietnam and Thailand purely on numbers:

– purchase prices

– rental income

– fixed costs

– taxes

– actual (not projected) occupancy rates

No opinions. No emotions.

Common Ground for Both Markets – What We're NOT Comparing

To make this comparison fair, we're excluding soft variables such as:

  • lifestyle
  • food
  • culture
  • "vibe of the place"

We're only interested in investor math.

Entry Price – Vietnam vs Thailand (Initial Capital)

Vietnam (Da Nang / Ho Chi Minh City / Hanoi)

Average prices for new apartments (2024–2025):

  • Da Nang: $2,200–$3,200 per sqm
  • Ho Chi Minh City: $3,000–$5,500 per sqm
  • Hanoi: $2,800–$4,800 per sqm

Investment apartment 45–55 sqm:

  • $110,000 – $180,000

Thailand (Bangkok / Phuket)

Average prices:

  • Bangkok: $3,200–$6,000 per sqm
  • Phuket: $4,500–$8,000 per sqm

Investment apartment 45–55 sqm:

  • $180,000 – $350,000

Conclusion:

Vietnam requires 30–50% lower entry capital.

Transaction Costs – Hard Numbers

Vietnam

  • Developer VAT: 10% (included in price)
  • Notary + registration: 0.5–1%
  • No transfer tax
  • Agency commission: typically 0% (paid by seller)

Thailand

  • Transfer fee: 2%
  • Stamp duty: 0.5%
  • Withholding tax: 1%
  • Sinking fund: 500–1,000 THB per sqm
  • Maintenance fee upfront: 40–80 THB per sqm/month

Conclusion:

Entry costs are lower in Vietnam percentage-wise, with a simpler structure.

Rental Income – What You Can Actually Earn

Vietnam – Long-term Rental (Dominant Model)

  • Da Nang 1BR: $550–$900/month
  • HCMC 1BR: $700–$1,200/month

Short-term rental:

  • heavily regulated locally
  • often suboptimal for ROI
  • actual occupancy: 50–65%

Thailand – Short-term Rental

  • Phuket 1BR: $60–$120/night
  • Actual annual occupancy: 55–70%
  • High seasonality

Long-term rental:

  • Phuket: $700–$1,100/month
  • Bangkok: $800–$1,300/month

Operating Costs – Where ROI 'Disappears'

Vietnam (average monthly)

  • Maintenance: $0.5–$1 per sqm
  • Property management: 5–8%
  • Utilities: $80–$120
  • Rental tax: 5–10%

Thailand

  • Maintenance: $1.2–$2.5 per sqm
  • Property management: 15–30% (short-term)
  • Utilities + internet: $120–$180
  • Rental tax: ~15% effective

Conclusion:

Thailand generates significantly higher ongoing costs, especially with short-term rentals.

Sample ROI – Numbers on the Table

Vietnam – Da Nang (Long-term)

  • Purchase price: $140,000
  • Annual income: $9,600
  • Expenses: $2,400
  • Net profit: $7,200

Net ROI: ~5.1%

Thailand – Phuket (Short-term)

  • Purchase price: $260,000
  • Gross income: $17,000
  • Expenses: $8,500
  • Net profit: $8,500

Net ROI: ~3.3%

What the Numbers Say (Without Interpretation)

  • Vietnam = lower entry threshold
  • Thailand = higher operating costs
  • Net ROI in practice:
  • Vietnam: 4.5–6%
  • Thailand: 3–5%

Data Sources

Regulatory Risk – Where Laws Threaten ROI More

Vietnam – Regulatory Risk

Vietnam permits foreign ownership of condominiums, but with limitations. Key risks:

  • 30% limit on foreign-owned units per building,
  • time-limited ownership (typically 50 years with possible extension),
  • local interpretations of short-term rental regulations.

Legal costs (notary + advisor):

  • $500–$1,200 one-time

In practice, risk primarily concerns:

  • projects "at the edge" of the 30% limit,
  • illegal short-term rentals in residential buildings.

Thailand – Regulatory Risk

In Thailand, the law is more stable but more restrictive:

  • 49% foreign quota limit in condos,
  • short-term rentals formally prohibited in buildings without hotel licenses,
  • real enforcement risk in popular locations (Bangkok, Phuket).

Legal costs:

  • $800–$1,500

Conclusion:

Vietnam = more flexibility, but more local nuances.

Thailand = stable law, but riskier short-term operations.

Exit Liquidity – Where It's Easier to Sell

Vietnam

Secondary market:

  • buyers: local clients + expats + regional investors,
  • selling time: 3–9 months,
  • moderate price pressure.

Typical discount for quick sale:

  • 5–10%

Thailand

Secondary market:

  • highly competitive,
  • many identical units in same project,
  • often price-driven competition.

Selling time:

  • 6–18 months

Typical discount:

  • 10–20%

Conclusion:

Thailand has a larger market, but lower liquidity for individual units.

Vietnam sells faster with reasonable pricing.

Capital Appreciation vs Cashflow – What Actually Drives ROI

Vietnam – Growth Model

  • urbanization,
  • infrastructure development,
  • growing middle class,
  • manufacturing relocation.

Average price growth (2018–2024):

  • 6–10% annually in top cities.

Cashflow:

  • moderate,
  • stable,
  • predictable.

Thailand – Income Model

  • tourism,
  • short-term rentals,
  • seasonality.

Price growth:

  • 2–5% annually (Bangkok),
  • local stagnation (Phuket condo oversupply).

Cashflow:

  • potentially high,
  • but highly sensitive to:
  • season,
  • regulations,
  • operating costs.

Decision Matrix – Vietnam vs Thailand

Initial Capital

Vietnam: lower

Thailand: higher

Fixed Costs

Vietnam: low

Thailand: high

Net ROI (Actual)

Vietnam: 4.5–6%

Thailand: 3–5%

Regulatory Risk

Vietnam: medium

Thailand: low (but short-term is risky)

Exit Liquidity

Vietnam: good

Thailand: average

Best For?

Vietnam: long-term investor

Thailand: operational investor

Most Common Investor Mistake

Buying Thailand "because tourism"

Buying Vietnam "because it's cheap"

ROI doesn't come from the country.

ROI comes from:

  • rental model,
  • operating costs,
  • exit strategy.

When Vietnam Wins

  • capital under $200,000,
  • buy & hold strategy,
  • focus on capital appreciation,
  • long-term rental.

When Thailand Makes Sense

  • capital $300,000+,
  • willingness for operational management,
  • legal short-term (hotel-licensed projects),
  • acceptance of seasonality.

Summary – Numbers, Not Opinions

Vietnam more often delivers better net ROI with lower cost risk.

Thailand can generate higher gross income, but operations eat into it.

If you calculate ROI with a calculator, not Instagram —

Vietnam wins more often than people say.

Sources

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