ROI in Vietnam vs Thailand – Numbers, Costs, and Real Property Returns
Introduction: Why ROI Must Be Calculated, Not 'Felt'
Property investment in Asia is often sold through narratives: "tourism boom," "expat haven," "emerging market," "the next Thailand." The problem is that ROI doesn't come from stories—it comes from a concrete equation.
ROI = (income – expenses) / capital invested
In this article, I compare Vietnam and Thailand purely on numbers:
– purchase prices
– rental income
– fixed costs
– taxes
– actual (not projected) occupancy rates
No opinions. No emotions.
Common Ground for Both Markets – What We're NOT Comparing
To make this comparison fair, we're excluding soft variables such as:
- lifestyle
- food
- culture
- "vibe of the place"
We're only interested in investor math.
Entry Price – Vietnam vs Thailand (Initial Capital)
Vietnam (Da Nang / Ho Chi Minh City / Hanoi)
Average prices for new apartments (2024–2025):
- Da Nang: $2,200–$3,200 per sqm
- Ho Chi Minh City: $3,000–$5,500 per sqm
- Hanoi: $2,800–$4,800 per sqm
Investment apartment 45–55 sqm:
- $110,000 – $180,000
Thailand (Bangkok / Phuket)
Average prices:
- Bangkok: $3,200–$6,000 per sqm
- Phuket: $4,500–$8,000 per sqm
Investment apartment 45–55 sqm:
- $180,000 – $350,000
Conclusion:
Vietnam requires 30–50% lower entry capital.
Transaction Costs – Hard Numbers
Vietnam
- Developer VAT: 10% (included in price)
- Notary + registration: 0.5–1%
- No transfer tax
- Agency commission: typically 0% (paid by seller)
Thailand
- Transfer fee: 2%
- Stamp duty: 0.5%
- Withholding tax: 1%
- Sinking fund: 500–1,000 THB per sqm
- Maintenance fee upfront: 40–80 THB per sqm/month
Conclusion:
Entry costs are lower in Vietnam percentage-wise, with a simpler structure.
Rental Income – What You Can Actually Earn
Vietnam – Long-term Rental (Dominant Model)
- Da Nang 1BR: $550–$900/month
- HCMC 1BR: $700–$1,200/month
Short-term rental:
- heavily regulated locally
- often suboptimal for ROI
- actual occupancy: 50–65%
Thailand – Short-term Rental
- Phuket 1BR: $60–$120/night
- Actual annual occupancy: 55–70%
- High seasonality
Long-term rental:
- Phuket: $700–$1,100/month
- Bangkok: $800–$1,300/month
Operating Costs – Where ROI 'Disappears'
Vietnam (average monthly)
- Maintenance: $0.5–$1 per sqm
- Property management: 5–8%
- Utilities: $80–$120
- Rental tax: 5–10%
Thailand
- Maintenance: $1.2–$2.5 per sqm
- Property management: 15–30% (short-term)
- Utilities + internet: $120–$180
- Rental tax: ~15% effective
Conclusion:
Thailand generates significantly higher ongoing costs, especially with short-term rentals.
Sample ROI – Numbers on the Table
Vietnam – Da Nang (Long-term)
- Purchase price: $140,000
- Annual income: $9,600
- Expenses: $2,400
- Net profit: $7,200
➡ Net ROI: ~5.1%
Thailand – Phuket (Short-term)
- Purchase price: $260,000
- Gross income: $17,000
- Expenses: $8,500
- Net profit: $8,500
➡ Net ROI: ~3.3%
What the Numbers Say (Without Interpretation)
- Vietnam = lower entry threshold
- Thailand = higher operating costs
- Net ROI in practice:
- Vietnam: 4.5–6%
- Thailand: 3–5%
Data Sources
- https://www.savills.com.vn
- https://www.knightfrank.com/research
- https://www.bangkokpost.com/property
- https://www.vietnam-briefing.com
- https://www.globalpropertyguide.com
Regulatory Risk – Where Laws Threaten ROI More
Vietnam – Regulatory Risk
Vietnam permits foreign ownership of condominiums, but with limitations. Key risks:
- 30% limit on foreign-owned units per building,
- time-limited ownership (typically 50 years with possible extension),
- local interpretations of short-term rental regulations.
Legal costs (notary + advisor):
- $500–$1,200 one-time
In practice, risk primarily concerns:
- projects "at the edge" of the 30% limit,
- illegal short-term rentals in residential buildings.
Thailand – Regulatory Risk
In Thailand, the law is more stable but more restrictive:
- 49% foreign quota limit in condos,
- short-term rentals formally prohibited in buildings without hotel licenses,
- real enforcement risk in popular locations (Bangkok, Phuket).
Legal costs:
- $800–$1,500
Conclusion:
Vietnam = more flexibility, but more local nuances.
Thailand = stable law, but riskier short-term operations.
Exit Liquidity – Where It's Easier to Sell
Vietnam
Secondary market:
- buyers: local clients + expats + regional investors,
- selling time: 3–9 months,
- moderate price pressure.
Typical discount for quick sale:
- 5–10%
Thailand
Secondary market:
- highly competitive,
- many identical units in same project,
- often price-driven competition.
Selling time:
- 6–18 months
Typical discount:
- 10–20%
Conclusion:
Thailand has a larger market, but lower liquidity for individual units.
Vietnam sells faster with reasonable pricing.
Capital Appreciation vs Cashflow – What Actually Drives ROI
Vietnam – Growth Model
- urbanization,
- infrastructure development,
- growing middle class,
- manufacturing relocation.
Average price growth (2018–2024):
- 6–10% annually in top cities.
Cashflow:
- moderate,
- stable,
- predictable.
Thailand – Income Model
- tourism,
- short-term rentals,
- seasonality.
Price growth:
- 2–5% annually (Bangkok),
- local stagnation (Phuket condo oversupply).
Cashflow:
- potentially high,
- but highly sensitive to:
- season,
- regulations,
- operating costs.
Decision Matrix – Vietnam vs Thailand
Initial Capital
Vietnam: lower
Thailand: higher
Fixed Costs
Vietnam: low
Thailand: high
Net ROI (Actual)
Vietnam: 4.5–6%
Thailand: 3–5%
Regulatory Risk
Vietnam: medium
Thailand: low (but short-term is risky)
Exit Liquidity
Vietnam: good
Thailand: average
Best For?
Vietnam: long-term investor
Thailand: operational investor
Most Common Investor Mistake
Buying Thailand "because tourism"
Buying Vietnam "because it's cheap"
ROI doesn't come from the country.
ROI comes from:
- rental model,
- operating costs,
- exit strategy.
When Vietnam Wins
- capital under $200,000,
- buy & hold strategy,
- focus on capital appreciation,
- long-term rental.
When Thailand Makes Sense
- capital $300,000+,
- willingness for operational management,
- legal short-term (hotel-licensed projects),
- acceptance of seasonality.
Summary – Numbers, Not Opinions
Vietnam more often delivers better net ROI with lower cost risk.
Thailand can generate higher gross income, but operations eat into it.
If you calculate ROI with a calculator, not Instagram —
Vietnam wins more often than people say.
Sources
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